America Versus China
Well, the last few weeks are telling in the battle of America and China. While both parties appear to be playing the “good guy”, it appears as though the race towards world supremacy is heating up. Recently, we heard about Chinese hackers trying to get into the Pentagon. This is scary enough. Now, we hear that there is an organized Chinese effort to “March on America“. Are the Chinese looking to instigate a hacking war against the lone world super-power? This looks to be the case.
The world is shaping up to being an interesting place. Russia, discarded as a world superpower many years ago seems to be trying to reassert itself among the nations of the world. China, laying low for many years, seems to be emboldening. How will these countries be seeing each other a few years from now?
Our predictions: China’s progressive middle class will demand more of its government. They will press for reform and democracy. They will try to assert the 1.4 billion Chinese peoples’ right to free choice and to market economy. China will become even more important on the world stage, but the internal pressures will cause problems, including the tendency towards unionizaton of the bottom class that is currently creating the goods in China.
Russia, with a large population, will likely not cause much of an issue on the world scene. Vladimir Putin’s posturing is a dream of bringing Russia to its previous “glory”. Russia has been a member of the UN security council and will justify its standing, but will not be able to rival China as an emerging super-power.
Only time will tell if we’re right. Comments, feedback and future articles about China-America relations are appreciated.
I strongly believe that the United States and China are on a crass course for war. This is not the same situation during the cold war where the battle can be won on the economic front. This battle will be won with our very lives. I do feel that military confrontation with China will not begin outright. It will take some rogue nation bombing Mexico City or some obscure place to bring about the conflict. No one, not even China would be stupid enough to outright pick a fight with America. Once a nation such as North Korea, Iran ect, does something over the edge. It will put America in a hard position. America will of course take an appropriate course of action, and China will look to go to war with America. This senario will be most aided by increased Chinese trade with other nations. They will not be hesitent with hostile actions towards America if trade is high with other places like
South and central America. The one thing that China will fail to realize is the power of the U.S. India alliance. “For a Hindu Buddist Nation and a Christian Nation shall destroy a Communist Nation”. I believe at that time Russia shall encounter a very opportunist position with the middle east. This will not prosper for them and they will fail in the endevour, especially when the time comes for the European Union to flex its muscle against its old opressor. After these events America will rebuild, and the European Union will come out as the world leader for a short period. Please watch the leader of the European Union at that time He should be most interesting. Our little friend in the middle east will be hard pressed with many foes about it. Israel will then deal with the internal problems she faces. ” They should have took the deal that was on the table in 1948″. There should be no longer a two state solution problem. I can assure you without the international pressure because of the world turmoil, only one state will survive that outcome. However, only time will tell.
Jason, thanks for your reply to our post. We agree with most of what you have said. We agree that China is extremely unlikely to resort to attacking the US. First of all, there is little reason for them to do so (other than the US stance on the issue of Taiwan). We don’t have stats on this, but we would imagine that the US is the largest consumer of Chinese exports in the world (does anybody have stats? SeekingAlpha claims that $200 billion of $270 billion total exports from China goes to the US! http://www.seekingalpha.com/article/54317-why-china-won-t-dump-usd-reserves) If China does attack the US, directly or indirectly, they’d likely suffer a financial loss - citizens of the US would no long purchase goods from China.
Another factor in this whole issue isone of currency. China’s currency is not floating - it is locked to a number of world currencies. According to Xinhua, China hold 1.2 TRILLION US dollars in foreign currency (not just US dollars). If China was to attack any country, including the US, this would affect their currency drastically. This is not in their best interests.
If we know anything from China’s history, it’s that they are strategic. Attacking the US doesn’t gain anything for them strategically. We believe that any changes that occur in China and America’s relationship will occur over time and not due to drastic measures like war.
How does India figure into this? We’re not sure. The country doesn’t seem to be making significant changes like the Chinese. However, with India’s better grasp of the English language, it seems that India’s focus is on delivering services, rather than goods. That has the potential to hurt America more than the goods coming in from China. Will there be an alliance made up between India and the US? We’re not sure what this pact would succeed in doing.
As for the Middle East, our view is that it has been given far too much attention in the news media and that what happens there is relatively minor to the future of the world. The Middle East is a crazy place, but it’s effects aren’t really worldwide…
Are our comments acceptable? Let us know if you agree or disagree with us. We’re happy to get feedback and to publish it, of course! Please, if you read anything here and want to have your say, please respond!
Hello everybody,
I’d like to know about China’s situation if it can be the first World superpower?if it can be possible, when it gets that place?